Tuesday, May 31, 2011

CHAPTER 6: EXTENSIONS OF THE TWO-VARIABLE LINEAR REGRESSION MODEL

ü  Regression Through the Origin

Yi = B2Xi  +  ui
In this model the intercept term is absent or zero, hence the name regression through the origin.
ü  r2 for Regression-through-Origin Model

raw r2 =   (∑XiYi)2
                 ∑Xi2∑Yi2
ü  Scaling and Units of Measurement
ü  A Word About Interpretation
Since the slope coefficient β2 is simply the rate of change, it is measured in the units of the ratio.
Units of the dependent variable
Units of the explanatory variable
ü  Regression on Standardized Variables
An interesting property of a standard variable is that its mean value is always zero and its standard deviation is always 1.
ü  Functional Forms of Regression Models
1.      The log-linear model
2.      Semilog models
3.      Reciprocal models
4.      The logarithmic reciprocal model
ü  How to Measure Elasticity: Log-Linear Model

lnYi = α + β2lnXi + ui
ü  Semi Log Models: Log-lin and lin-log models
ü  How to Measure the Growth Rate: the Log-lin model

lnYi = β1 + β2t + ui
In this model, the slope coefficient measures the constant proportional or relative change in Y for a given absolute change in the value of the regressor.

β2 =  relative change in regressand
        absolute change in regressor
ü  Linear Trend Model

Yi = β1 + β2t + ui
ü  The Lin-Log Model

Yi = β1 + β2lnXi + ui


β2 = change in Y
         change in X

                                                                       = change in Y
                                                                           relative change in X
ü  Reciprocal Models

Yi = β1 + β2    1    + ui
              Xi
ü  Log Hyperbola or Logarithmic Reciprocal Model

lnYi = β1 – β2   1    + ui
                 Xi
ü  Choice of Functional Form
1.      The underlying theory may suggest a particular functional form.
2.      It is good practice to find out the rate of change of the regressand with respect to the regressor as well as to find out the elasticity of the regressand with respect to the regressor.
3.      The coefficients of the model chosen should satisfy certain a priori expectations.
4.      But make sure that in comparing r2 values the dependent variable, or the regressand, of the two models is the same the regressor(s) can take any form.
5.      In general one should not overemphasize the r2 measure in the sense that the higher the r2 the better the model.




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